Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.039965 0.046543 0.053776 0.062304 0.072073 0.082900 0.095797
2025-08-03 0.030007 0.038560 0.048827 0.062011 0.078434 0.098162 0.123592
2025-08-10 0.022724 0.031877 0.043754 0.060180 0.082182 0.110485 0.149482
2025-08-17 0.017795 0.027015 0.039840 0.058787 0.085826 0.122739 0.176593
2025-08-24 0.014633 0.023853 0.037503 0.058881 0.091137 0.137509 0.208588
2025-08-31 0.011871 0.020686 0.034516 0.057377 0.093675 0.148369 0.236022
2025-09-07 0.010553 0.019508 0.034294 0.059914 0.102435 0.169145 0.280210
2025-09-14 0.009043 0.017702 0.032721 0.059949 0.107079 0.183899 0.316460
2025-09-21 0.007573 0.015679 0.030426 0.058351 0.108676 0.193745 0.345608
2025-09-28 0.006508 0.014202 0.028842 0.057715 0.111726 0.206132 0.379983
2025-10-05 0.006084 0.013905 0.029381 0.060994 0.122065 0.231920 0.439661
2025-10-12 0.005596 0.013382 0.029390 0.063227 0.130662 0.255363 0.497258
2025-10-19 0.004790 0.012046 0.027606 0.061759 0.132176 0.266366 0.533939
2025-10-26 0.004178 0.011029 0.026331 0.061145 0.135282 0.280631 0.578079
2025-11-02 0.003555 0.009862 0.024542 0.059178 0.135372 0.289067 0.611847
2025-11-09 0.003062 0.008914 0.023090 0.057726 0.136325 0.299225 0.649841
2025-11-16 0.002731 0.008316 0.022355 0.057777 0.140488 0.316207 0.702966
2025-11-23 0.002361 0.007533 0.021041 0.056278 0.141002 0.325613 0.741307
2025-11-30 0.002233 0.007407 0.021358 0.058760 0.150878 0.355795 0.825863
2025-12-07 0.002006 0.006944 0.020726 0.058788 0.154994 0.373817 0.885872
2025-12-14 0.001743 0.006313 0.019537 0.057215 0.155067 0.382839 0.926951
2025-12-21 0.001549 0.005855 0.018751 0.056590 0.157381 0.397118 0.980916
2025-12-28 0.001504 0.005880 0.019352 0.059809 0.169754 0.435745 1.093313